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Understanding Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) and Their Role in Green Power Claims

Author
Ryan Rudman
Publication Date
June 23, 2025

In the dynamic and increasingly urgent pursuit of a sustainable future, Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) have emerged as a cornerstone of global efforts to transition to clean energy sources and combat climate change. Far from being a mere accounting formality, these market-based instruments represent the distinct environmental attributes of renewable electricity generation, allowing individuals and organizations to credibly claim ownership of the environmental benefits associated with green power.


At their core, RECs are issued when one megawatt-hour (MWh) of electricity is generated and delivered to the electricity grid from an eligible renewable energy resource, such as solar, wind, hydropower, or biomass. While the physical electricity itself flows indistinguishably through the shared grid, RECs serve a crucial role in accounting, tracking, and assigning ownership to renewable electricity generation and use. This decoupling of the physical electron from its "green" attributes is a fundamental mechanism that enables a flexible and efficient market for supporting renewable energy development. Without RECs, it would be impossible to verify that a specific amount of renewable energy was produced and claimed by a particular entity, leading to potential double-counting and undermining the integrity of green power claims.


The legal basis for RECs in the U.S. renewable electricity market is well-established, supported by various levels of government, regional electricity transmission authorities, non-governmental organizations, and even U.S. case law. This robust framework provides the necessary confidence for market participants to engage in REC transactions.


The market for RECs is not just growing; it's surging. Projected to achieve a value of USD 45.45 billion by 2030, up from USD 27.99 billion in 2025, the market is expanding at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.2%. This impressive growth is driven by a confluence of powerful forces: stringent governmental policies supporting renewable energy targets, ambitious corporate sustainability strategies, the broader global energy transition away from fossil fuels, and a heightened awareness of climate change among consumers and businesses alike. Within this market, solar energy currently leads by energy type, thanks to its rapid growth, cost-effectiveness, and widespread adoption, making it a dominant source for REC generation.


RECs serve two primary market segments: compliance and voluntary. In the compliance market, RECs are essential for utility companies and other load-serving entities to meet Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) mandates set by state or federal governments. These mandates require a certain percentage of their electricity sales to come from renewable sources, and RECs are the verifiable proof of compliance. The voluntary segment, on the other hand, is driven by increasing corporate and individual demand to fulfill sustainability goals beyond legal requirements. Businesses and individuals are increasingly seeking to participate in the green transition, bolstering this sector and demonstrating their commitment to environmental stewardship.


A critical aspect of maintaining the integrity of the REC market is the prevention of double-counting. This is where sophisticated tracking systems come into play. Electronic tracking systems assign a unique identification number to each REC, ensuring that only one REC is issued for each MWh of generation and that it can only be owned by one account holder at a time. Innovations like blockchain technology are further enhancing this transparency and immutability, providing a decentralized ledger where all REC transactions are recorded and cannot be altered, significantly reducing the likelihood of fraudulent claims.


For businesses navigating the complexities of REC procurement and compliance, understanding these market dynamics and ensuring the integrity of their claims is paramount. The fluctuating prices of RECs, influenced by supply-demand imbalances, regulatory changes, and even corporate profitability, can complicate budgeting and long-term planning. This is where expert guidance becomes invaluable.


AFS Commodities
provides comprehensive support to corporate clients, assisting them in understanding the intricate nuances of REC markets. Their expertise extends to facilitating the efficient acquisition and strategic sale of RECs, enabling clients to meet both their mandatory compliance obligations under RPS programs and their voluntary corporate sustainability goals. By leveraging their deep market knowledge, AFS Commodities helps clients substantiate their renewable energy use claims with confidence, ensuring that their investments genuinely contribute to a greener energy future while optimizing their environmental and financial objectives. They act as a crucial intermediary, connecting renewable energy generators with organizations seeking to procure RECs, thereby streamlining transactions and enhancing market efficiency.